Do traders learn to select efficient market institutions?

What Do Labor Market Institutions Do?

What Do Labor Market Institutions Do? The past couple of decades have seen a huge increase in research on various labor market institutions. This paper offers a brief overview and discussion of research on the labor market impacts of minimum wages (MW), unemployment insurance (UI), and employment protection legislation (EPL). It is argued that research on UI is largely a success story, involvin...

Are Institutions Momentum Traders?

This paper examines institutional trading in momentum portfolios. The key result is that institutions engage in momentum trading over the subsequent 3 quarters, buying winners and selling losers, in response to past returns but not past earnings news. Momentum trading is strengthened, however, when returns are accompanied by earnings news of the same sign. While past high returns predict future...

To Learn or Not do Learn

Implementing Statistical Criteria to Select Return Forecasting Models: What Do We Learn?

Statistical model selection criteria provide an informed choice of the model with best external (i.e., out-of-sample) validity. Therefore they guard against overfitting (“data snooping”). We implement several model selection criteria in order to verify recent evidence of predictability in excess stock returns and to determine which variables are valuable predictors. We confirm the presence of i...

Individual Investor Sentiment and Stock Returns - What Do We Learn from Warrant Traders?

In this paper, we propose a measure of individual investor sentiment that is derived from the market for bank-issued warrants. Due to a unique warrant transaction data set from a large discount broker we are able to calculate a daily sentiment measure and test whether individual investor sentiment is related to daily stock returns by using vector autoregressive models and Granger causality test...